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1141 Godet, Michel y Durance, Philippe. 2009. La prospectiva estratégica para las empresas y los territorios, Cuaderno Lipsor. No 10. Johnson, Keith. 2015. «The Meltdown of the Global Order». Foreign Policy, July 23. Joint Force Development, JFD. 2016. Joint Operating Environment 2035. Disponible en: http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/concepts/joe/joe_2035_july16.pdf Mead, Walter Russell. 2014. «The Return of Geopolitics. The Revenge of the Revisionist Powers» in Foreign Affairs, May/June. Mearsheimer, John J. 2003. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York: Norton. Morgan, Forrest E. 2013. Crisis Stability and Long-Range Strike. A Comparative Analysis of Fighters, Bombers, and Missiles. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation. Multiple Futures Project, MFP. 2009. NATO Multiple Futures Project. Navigating towards 2030 Final Report. Disponible en: http://www.act.nato.int/images/stories/events/2009/mfp/20090503_MFP_finalrep.pdf National Intelligence Council, NIC. 2012. Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds. Washington D.C: Office of the Director of National Intelligence. National Intelligence Council, NIC. 2017. Global Trends: Paradox of Progress. Washington D.C: Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Neumann, Iver B. & Erik F. Overland. 2004. «International Relations and Policy Planning: The Method of Perspectivist Scenario Building», International Studies Perspectives, No 5, pp. 258-277. Ogilvy, Jay (2015), «Scenario Planning and Strategic Forecasting», Stratfor, January 7. Rothkopf, David (2016), «Is Globalization to Blame for Brexit?», Foreign Policy, July 4. Schoemaker, Paul J.H. 1995. «Scenario Planning: A Tool for Strategic Thinking», Sloan Management Review; Vol. 36, No 2, pp. 25-40. Sterling-Folker, Jennifer. 2009. «Neoclassical Realism and Identity: Peril Despite Profit Across the Taiwan Strait», Lobell, Steven E; Ripsman Norrin M. & Taliaferro, Jeffrey W. eds. Neoclassical Realism, the State and Foreign Policy, New York, Cambridge University Press. pp. 99-138. Supreme Allied Commander Transformation, SACT. 2013 Strategic Foresight Analysis 2013 Report. Disponible en: http://www.act.nato.int/images/stories/events/2012/fc_ipr/sfa_security_implications.pdf Supreme Allied Commander Transformation. 2015, Framework for Future Alliance Operations. Disponible en: http://www.act.nato.int/images/stories/media/doclibrary/ffao-2015.pdf Supreme Allied Commander Transformation. 2015. Strategic Foresight Analysis 2015 Report. Disponible en: http://www.act.nato.int/images/stories/media/doclibrary/160121sfa.pdf Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. 2008. El Cisne Negro. El impacto de lo altamente improbable. Barcelona: Paidós. Waltz, Kenneth. 2010. Theory of International Politics. Long Grove: Waveland Press Inc. bie3 'ƌĂŶĚĞƐƚĞŶĚĞŶĐŝĂƐƉŽůşƚŝĐĂƐLJƐŽĐŝĂůĞƐĚĞŝŶƚĞƌĠƐƉĂƌĂůĂƐĞŐƵƌŝĚĂĚLJůĂ ĚĞĨĞŶƐĂ͘WĞƌƐƉĞĐƚŝǀĂƐĞƵƌŽƉĞĂƐLJŶŽƌƚĞĂŵĞƌŝĐĂŶĂƐ :ĂǀŝĞƌ:ŽƌĚĄŶŶĂŵŽƌĂĚŽ ŽĐƵŵĞŶƚŽĚĞ/ŶǀĞƐƚŝŐĂĐŝſŶ ϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϭ


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