399 Daniel Rajmil The middle east; deterrence and nuclear deterrence The international nuclear arms control process is going to be a long journey; nuclear weapons cannot be erased, and international security will for a long time remain faced with the need to live with them.46 Meanwhile, the inherent instability of nuclear weapons has in the lack of an imperative and efficient arms control system, reintroduced the possibility of a nuclear war, even if limited.47 The current contradiction between nuclear deterrence and arms control processes is the most lasting academic debate that deterrence theory is and will face. The Middle East and the West are also confronting this contradiction. In this context, the possible alternatives to the nuclear policy of Israel or nowadays the Iranian nuclear ambitions, present both an act of extensive review of deterrence strategies and a chance to look for alternatives to WMD as a NWFZ for the Middle East. A complicated and complex costgains scenario, where nuclear deterrence and its possible failures should be equally weighted, leading to a long term feasible guideline for future policymakers to achieve global stability. V. BIBLIOGRAPHY ACHEN, Christopher H and SNIDAL, Duncan. Rational deterrence theory and comparative case studies, World politics, vol. 41, Issue 2, Jan. 1989. BUNDY, Mc. George. To Cap the Volcano, Foreign Affairs 48, no. 1, 1969. ELDEN ALY, Hossam. The deterrence potential of Weapons of Mass destruction (WMD) in the Arab-Israeli enduring rivalry, Vienna: Dissertation, Uni Wien, 1999. EVRON, Yair. The Israeli Nuclear Dilemma, London, Routledge, 1994. FISHER, David. Morality and the bomb. An ethnical assessment of nuclear deterrence, London, Croom Helm Ltd, 1985. GÄRTNER, Heinz. Deterrence, disarmament and arms control, Vienna, OIIP working paper, no. 68, May 2013. HUTH, Paul. Deterrence and International Conflict: Empirical Findings and Theoretical Debate. Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 2: 25-48, 1999. JENTELSON, Bruce. Coercive diplomacy: Scope and Limits in the contemporary world, Policy Analysis, The Stanley Foundation, 2006. 46 SUR, Serge. Nuclear Deterrence Revisited, Chapter 1. Nuclear Deterrence: Problems and Perspectives in the 1990’s. New York: UNIDIR Publication, 1993, p. 5. 47 Ibid. http://revista.ieee.es/index.php/ieee
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